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Writer's picturePaulius Razukevicius

The New Space Race

Space is no longer just about exploration – it has become the new battleground for geopolitical dominance. With the U.S., China and Russia competing to control strategic assets in space, the stakes couldn’t be higher. This new "space race" is about more than just technological advancements - it also entails who will set the rules and reap the rewards. The U.S. must not only participate, but also lead in this new era of space competition or risk falling behind both economically and militarily.

 

Guarding the New Battleground


The modern space race is much more than just planting flags on the moon: with over 80 countries now active in space, the U.S. faces competition from superpowers like China and Russia, in addition to smaller nations and private enterprises. Space has become an extension of Earth’s geopolitical struggles, where nations vie for control of satellites, resources, and even future bases on the moon. As space becomes more integral to military strategy, any failure to protect U.S. satellites and infrastructure could cripple not only the military, but daily life on Earth.

 

The New Frontier: Attack Satellites and Weaponization


China and Russia are already testing anti-satellite weapons that could target key U.S. space assets. These developments signal a shift in the space race, turning it from a competition for exploration to a fight for control. Attack satellites, or “killer satellites,” are a real and present danger, as they are capable of disabling communication systems. GPS satellites essential to both civilian and military operations. More concerning is the risk that these attacks pose to early-warning systems for nuclear launches, which would have catastrophic consequences.

 

The Race for Moon Bases

 

China has already laid out plans for moon bases, with Russia eyeing similar goals. These ambitions signify more than just prestige; they represent an attempt to claim strategic ground on a celestial body rich in resources and technological potential.  If the U.S. does not accelerate its efforts, it risks losing its leadership position to these powers, which are determined to dominate this new frontier.

 

Strategic Importance of U.S. Leadership

 

The U.S. has long been a leader in space, but leadership today is no longer about putting a man on the moon. Securing vital resources and infrastructure is also crucial. The discovery of rare earth metals and helium- three on the moon presents an opportunity for the U.S. to establish long-term economic dominance. This is more than prestige – it’s about ensuring that the U.S. controls resources crucial to future technologies, rather than letting rivals claim them. However, it’s not just economic. Without leading in space, the U.S. risks allowing adversaries like China and Russia to shape space governance and security. Falling behind means losing control over the rules that will govern space for generations.

 

The Danger of Escalation in Space


Some argue that increasing U.S. efforts in space could lead to unintended consequences, particularly escalating tensions with other nations. Critics warn that by ramping up military activities in space, the U.S. might provoke an arms race or contribute to space becoming a more dangerous, weaponized arena. 

 

While these concerns are valid, they fail to account for the fact that space is already being weaponized by nations like China and Russia. The U.S. is not escalating a conflict; it is responding to a pre-existing reality. Ignoring this threat would leave vital infrastructure vulnerable, potentially compromising global security. The objective of increasing U.S. space presence is not to provoke, but to deter – ensuring that space remains secure and that adversaries are discouraged from exploiting it for harmful purposes.

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